Hood vs Victory
Looks like we are in for an interesting 3rd place match between the Hood and the Victory. The game all comes down to the Chasers. The Hood need their chasers to dominate the game from the get-go, seeker Ahmad is outmatched and outclassed by Gallais. Ahmad, while undoubtedly a top notch seeker prospect, cannot compete against the likes of an honor level seeker. We saw that against the Dynamo, against the Shoes, duel percentages of 42% and 25%. He just is not ready for the big stage. We saw a lot of his technique and form against Morettini, who may win games for the Dynamo, but in terms of duel percent, is not even top ten in honor. Ahmad looked like he needed all his wits to keep up. Going against Gallais, who has the third-best duel percentage in honor league, he will be in over his head to try and hold off Gallais from the snitch to give the Hood a chance for victory.
But even holding Gallais off the snitch might not be enough for the Hood to win. The Victory have an incredible chaser line, with all three chasers boasting 50% goal conversion in the top flight. The Hood, on the other hand, have Corwin Mathias, who is probably the best chaser in the world, but his supporting cast is weak. The Hood's chaser line as a whole doesn't match up skill wise against the Victory's chaser line. The Victory's chasers are faster, more accurate, agiler, and more dexterous. This means the Hood need to play to their strength, physical heads-up play. The Victory chasers are often caught off guard, and the Hood will look to create interceptions by being alert to the play and reading the Victory's moves. This means it all comes down to skill against strategy to see who wins the chaser battle.
However, there is another variable that could influence the chasers, and that is beater play. Lehmann and Pugh are great flyers. They dodge snitches with their high speed and agility, and they have the strength and accuracy to take care of business too. The Victory chasers need them taken out of the game if they want to generate chances. Matthews and Boyle are not up to snuff. Probably the worst beater pairing in the honor league in terms of stats, they need to get their act together and figure this out now. They are so ineffective, the Hood will probably just shake them off, and their youth could turn against them. Both are under 30, which means they still have a lot of quidditch left, to play and to learn. Lehmann and Pugh? They are old, Pugh retiring this year. Expect him to give it his all on a way to game domination.
One factory will make all of the above futile, and that is a hot keeper. Don't worry too much about that, though, seeing as neither teams keeper is something spectacular to talk about. Morvan has the slight edge, playing in the top flight, but her stats are lower than Maher's, which is rife for debate. There is no doubt, though, that Morvan is a better flyer. She just isn't as attentive as she needs to be. Her low level of alertness means she let's in too many goals she should stop. Count on the Hood to take a lot of shots hoping that Morvan will miss one, or more, from lack of attentiveness.
Lastly, the managers will have a tactical say in this match. Isle of Man Hood like to play a very balanced game, and it suits the team they have. Going into this match, however, look for the manager to play more defensively, to keep the game within snitch range. The Victory have been playing on the defensive side, some games containing, others being played in constant park the bus. Look for them to take a turn to attacking play, due to their need to get plenty of goals, and get them quickly.
This match will be hard fought and tightly contested, and either team could win, if the game plan is executed well. The game tickets sold out within an hour, and with 7,500 G on the line, who will step up and take the 3rd place trophy and the golden galleons? Our prediction: The Victory will win this one, but by a narrow margin, 870-740.
Predicted Starting 7:
S --- Gallais
B --- Matthews
B --- Boyle
C --- Mahmood
C --- Eaton
C --- Kurth
K --- Morvan
S --- Ahmad
B --- Pugh
B --- Lehmann
C --- Mathias
C --- Harvey
C --- Webb
K --- Maher
Last edited by Xter
on Mon Sep 05, 2016 4:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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